THE NEXT WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST: ITCHING FOR A FIGHT WITH IRAN

“Tehran's regional strategic depth and the complete lack of an international consensus on such a potentially disastrous adventure should dissuade Trump from going after Iran militarily”. Mohammad Ali Shabani (analyst at Al-Monitor)

TURKISH POLITICS: IS THERE ROOM FOR DEMOCRACY?

“His biggest strength as a politician and weakness as a citizen is that, despite his control over the country, he feels like an outsider. He has demonized entire demographic groups: secularists and liberals, but also Alevis (liberal Muslims), social democrats,…

AFTER MOSUL AND RAQQA: END OF THE CALIPHATE. THEN WHAT?

“ISIS does not see the ultimate loss of Mosul and Raqqa as a final defeat, rather as a new phase in a long war in which they will hold several valuable cards. (...) The brutality and corruption of the occupying…

THE KINGDOM’S NEW HEIR

“Like the war in Yemen, the isolation of Qatar is an effort to subdue a recalcitrant neighbor to fall in line with Saudi policies. With his royal succession now assured, the young prince is likely to take even greater risks”.

GULF FEUD: BLAMING QATAR

In the opaque world of Arab diplomacy, things are never quite as they seem. On the surface, the reason Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt cut air, land and sea travel to Qatar was straightforward enough: giving…

LIBYA: FAILED STATE IN THE MEDITERRANEAN

“Over the last four years, Libya has become a key node in the expansion of Islamic radicalism across North Africa, West Africa, and the Sahel, and into Europe. Arms and fighters have crossed Libya’s porous borders, feeding radical organizations from…

WHO WILL LEAD THE PALESTINIANS?

“While Abbas is not about to exit the political scene, this year will clarify the figures that will be ready to fill his shoes once he leaves”.

RUSSIA’S RACE FOR HEGEMONY IN THE MIDDLE EAST

“Russia’s interests in the region include security, arms sales and oil. But most important, the Middle East offers a platform to reinforce Russia’s status as a global power”.